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Play to make? Matchpoints

#1 User is offline   Quartic 

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Posted 2012-January-28, 10:27

You're playing in a matchpoints event and you pick up a nice hand in second seat (spots approximate):



West leads a , and East wins the Ace. East continues with the K, West discarding an encouraging heart. East now continues with a third spade, which you ruff in dummy. How do you continue?
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#2 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2012-January-28, 12:40

Our B/I crew (who are better than many BBO adv and exps) can get this one.
Hi y'all!

Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
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Posted 2012-January-29, 14:50

At teams this one is very easy - play to make. At matchpoints I'm not so sure - Rho might have the Q and be offering a chance to make in order to take us 2 down. I was wondering if we should always play to make, or whether there's any situation where its better to settle for 1 down.
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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-January-29, 15:35

RHO preempted with AKQ and, apparently, K. He's unlikely to have Q as well
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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Posted 2012-January-29, 15:47

View Postgnasher, on 2012-January-29, 15:35, said:

RHO preempted with AKQ and, apparently, K. He's unlikely to have Q as well


Fair point - missed that he must have AKQ! (Was re-constructing the hand from memory.) Not sure why you think he has the K though...
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#6 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-January-29, 15:57

You are undoubled in a sacrifice without necessarily being able to beat game? Also, if you can beat game and are going negative this will be a disaster, as you can bet dollars to donuts that the room will not be in 5d in a normal MP field.
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#7 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-January-29, 15:59

View PostQuartic, on 2012-January-29, 15:47, said:

Fair point - missed that he must have AKQ! (Was re-constructing the hand from memory.) Not sure why you think he has the K though...


also, even if you think east has the club queen you can still play to make by playing a couple of rounds of trumps and ruffing it down, you can cross back in trumps.....
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#8 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-January-29, 16:04

I am a simple man, I would bet to just play seven rounds of diamonds pitching all the hearts. There is a good chance they will both keep a heart honor.

You will know you got the hand wrong if you see rho throw a heart honour. But the show up squeeze seems like a good line. I have seen worse that lho leading a spade with the AK of hearts. And against most club players if the heart honors are split there is a huge chance they will both keep one. Against a good player you can be sure AKQ of spades is all they have... no chance someone opening three spades with AKQ seventh and the heart K, that is absurd.


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#9 User is offline   rhm 

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Posted 2012-January-29, 16:04

While Andy is right as usual, there is no need to commit early.
Run diamonds.
If West has the Q he will have to discard his A on the last diamond.
He is very unlikely to discard the A without the Q, unless you rate him to be in the Belladonna class. He does not know his partner has the K
Likewise East is unlikely to discard the K unless holding the Q, admittedly very remote in the first place.

When West keeps the A and East the K no need to finesse.
If West discards the A and East keeps the K you should finesse.
If the finesse loses, hold your own cards closer next time.

Rainer Herrmann
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