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Bid or Not?

Poll: Bid or Not? (44 member(s) have cast votes)

Bid or Not?

  1. Pass (25 votes [56.82%])

    Percentage of vote: 56.82%

  2. 4S (15 votes [34.09%])

    Percentage of vote: 34.09%

  3. 4S only at favourable (4 votes [9.09%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.09%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 02:27

Scoring: MP


RHO opens 4h first in at all red. Will you bid 4s here? Would you bid at favourable? How would a change of scoring to teams affect your choice?
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
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#2 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 02:48

When in doubt, always bid 4 over 4.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#3 User is offline   marcD 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 03:07

Pass . 4 is brilliant but my partners cannot take a joke . 4 could possibly work at MP , would even less consider it at IMP
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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 03:58

I'd bid 4 if I knew partner wouldn't act afterwards, but being raised to 6 its so ugly.

So put me on balancing sit, or opposite passed hand partner and I am trying 4, on a live seat I won't.
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#5 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 04:30

4.

IMPs or MP, but losing a double game swing is only a bottom at MPs, it is more expensive at IMPs.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#6 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 05:15

I pass, yes a double game swing is bad, but so is a phantom sacrifice and a failing slam.
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#7 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 05:17

Apart from the risks already mentioned, if we bid 4 there's a fair chance of losing 850 in 5x. Or are we going to bid 5 too?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#8 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 05:33

4S is simply a beginner bid. Partner is rarely going to pass if we bid 4S. Hes favorite to have enough values to go on.

Usually when a bid show 5 to 20 pts and isnt forcing, its a bad bid.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#9 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 06:27

benlessard, on Sep 3 2009, 06:33 AM, said:

4S is simply a beginner bid.

I'm pretty sure this basically isnt true.

Does it not feel to you guys that 4h is almost certainly cold? There are 25 HCP or so between teh two hands still to bid, given that most experts open at the one level with 12 HCP even in very aggressive hands. It feels to me that 4h is cold maybe 9/10 times? Is this too optimistic?

As for being raised. I felt that partner is quite unlikely to raise me without 3 trumps, in which case this hand has similar playing strength to say

AKxxxx
x
Qxxx
xx

I'm pretty sure most ppl would bid 4s with this hand? Besides, surely partner will be relatively conservative here when he has heart length? If i play in 5s-1 then this might still be cheap vs 4h, and at worst i lose 5 playing imps. Of course this is a disaster playing MP, and this was the principle worry, and going -1 vs -1 of course. It feels like whenever the HCP divide evenly between the two hands bidding wins. Whenever partner is weaker and has a few spades bidding probably wins. When partner is stronger hand has spades there is danger, but 15 HCP outside of hearts might well vive slam decent play?

Axx
xxxx
AJx
AQx

or

Axx
xxxx
KJx
AKx

7 spades 2d 1d ruff and just needs club finess. What are you expexting partner to raise to the 5 level on here? Surely no one is driving slam here on less than 15?

Am i being too conservative on what you should raise to slam on?

In short, it feels to me like a phantom is fairly unlikely, and that when partner raises to slam this hand actually has quite a lot of playing strength with its 7-4 distribution. Further, when partner raises it seems like this is a far bigger worry at MP than imps, when -1 vs-1 is unlikely to be a worry, since partner is fairly unlikely to be able to make a t/o double.
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
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#10 User is offline   mcphee 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 07:39

Bidding 4S is one VERY HUGE position to take. This is simply not the hand partner is going to expect, nor is it even close to what you should hold. In the balancing position this is a different issue, directly this is placing the family jewels on the train tracks! And not only yours, partners' as well.

If you are looking for a newspaper hand bid 4S, the genius bid. I bet we see your name in the obits!
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#11 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 07:44

4, we do have 7 of them.
"Are you saying that LTC merits a more respectful dismissal?"
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#12 User is offline   MarkDean 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 08:21

benlessard, on Sep 3 2009, 04:33 AM, said:

4S is simply a beginner bid. Partner is rarely going to pass if we bid 4S. Hes favorite to have enough values to go on.

Usually when a bid show 5 to 20 pts and isnt forcing, its a bad bid.

Mark me down as a beginner.
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#13 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 09:55

MarkDean, on Sep 3 2009, 04:21 PM, said:

benlessard, on Sep 3 2009, 04:33 AM, said:

4S is simply a beginner bid. Partner is rarely going to pass if we bid 4S. Hes favorite to have enough values to go on.

Usually when a bid show 5 to 20 pts and isnt forcing, its a bad bid.

Mark me down as a beginner.

Not as a Dean? :lol:
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#14 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 10:48

Pass. But at favourable hmm..
- Andy -

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We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
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#15 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 17:09

OleBerg, on Sep 3 2009, 03:48 AM, said:

When in doubt, always bid 4 over 4.

Fortunately I am not in doubt. I will certainly pass.

Rik
I want my opponents to leave my table with a smile on their face and without matchpoints on their score card - in that order.
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#16 User is offline   olliebol 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 17:33

if youre fixed stay fixed pass
Olivier.
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#17 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2009-September-03, 18:36

Obvious pass. It is not that I don't want to bid 4S, I do, however I am concerned that partner will think I actually had my bid, when i have nothing like a 4S bid.
I totally agree with Ben Lessard.

Phil, I would drive to 7 opposite a 4S bid if I held -
Axx
xxxx
AJx
AQx

As I think most players would.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#18 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2009-September-04, 03:26

4. Ugly, but with 7-0 in the majors I have to put on my bidding shoes in this sequence.
Michael Askgaard
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#19 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-September-04, 08:28

The_Hog, on Sep 4 2009, 02:36 AM, said:

Obvious pass. It is not that I don't want to bid 4S, I do, however I am concerned that partner will think I actually had my bid, when i have nothing like a 4S bid.
I totally agree with Ben Lessard.

Phil, I would drive to 7 opposite a 4S bid if I held -
Axx
xxxx
AJx
AQx

As I think most players would.

Sure.

If partner holds:

KQJ10xxx
x
Kxx
Kx

He is simply a silly overbidder.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#20 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2009-September-04, 20:08

The_Hog, on Sep 3 2009, 07:36 PM, said:

As I think most players would.

Well, that turns out not to be the case.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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