awm, on Dec 10 2008, 10:27 AM, said:
Let's change Ken Rexford's hands slightly while keeping his cuebid style:
♠KJxxx ♥KQx ♦AKxx ♣x
♠AQx ♥Axxxx ♦xx ♣Kxx
Starting with a heart response, we see 1♠-2♥-3♥. Now responder cuebids 3♠ to show one of the top three spades. Opener has serious slam interest and bids 3NT to show it. Responder now cuebids 4♣ showing one of the top honors there. Opener cuebids 4♦ and hears 4♠ from partner guaranteeing a second top spade (responder knows there is a nice unrevealed double fit and that opener has extras, so it would be wimpy to bid 4♥). At this point opener knows that responder holds ♠AQ and the ♣A or ♣K, plus almost surely the trump ace (responder needs the points to justify the 2/1 bid, and shouldn't really bid past 4♥ holding a five-card heart suit lacking all three of the top honors). Opener bids RKC and a good slam is reached.
Starting with the club response, we see 1♠-2♣-2♦-2♠. Now opener bids 2NT to deny two of the top three spades. Responder is okay with this and cuebids 3♥ to show the heart ace and deny holding two of the top three clubs or holding a diamond control. Opener now cuebids 3♠ to show the spade king. Responder cuebids 4♣ as a non-serious try with a top club. Opener has two top diamonds and extra values, and can conceivably RKC at this point. The problem is that responder's bidding is entirely consistent with ♠AQx ♥Axx ♦xxx ♣KJxx, opposite which slam has no play. So opener probably cuebids 4♦ to leave the decision to responder. At this point responder has essentially shown all the cards in his hand (although presumably it is possible he has only one of the top spades) so there's really nothing he can cuebid. He knows opener has extras, but opener's bidding is entirely consistent with a hand like ♠KJxxx ♥Kxx ♦AKQx ♣x, opposite which slam has no play.
Okay, maybe "no play" was an overstatement. In principle you can try the club finesse, and if it wins you can discard a heart. Then with careful management of entries it should be possible to make (unless hearts are 4-1 and opponents lead it and get a ruff). So suffice it to say slam is less than 50%.
Actually, the description of the sequences that would result are slightly off.
With the proposed hands, let's assume a start of 1
♠-P-2
♥-P-3
♥. Responder will, as noted, cue 3
♠, showing one of the top three spades. Opener will also, as you suggest, bid serious 3NT, as that spade card does wonders for his hand. Responder will cue 4
♣, but this will not necessarily show one of the top two clubs -- technically a club stiff or void is also plausible. Opener may want to cue 4
♦, but that is not a cue of a diamond control. Rather, it is LTTC and implies the need for a diamond control. As a result, Responder would not cue 4
♠, because he does not have a diamond control. Furthermore, 4
♠ would not even be a cuebid -- it would be RKCB of a variety where the spades King and Queen are shown instead of the heart King and Queen. As Responder just has a minimum here, he would sign off. So, Opener actually is forced to decide what to do on the mere basis of a useless club control. This is a bad sequence for us.
Let's assume, instead, the 2
♣ response. You are right that the sequence would continue as noted to reach the point of a 2
♠ call setting trumps. Opener would, in fact, cuebid 2NT to deny good trumps, Responder would bid 3
♥ for the reasons you mentioned, and Opener would cue 3
♠ for the reasons you mentioned. Responder would cuebid 3
♣ for the reasons you mentioned, showing non-serious interest. As you mentioned, at this point Opener feels comfortable forcing the five-level because he has such great strength. However, your concern for Opener is that Responder actually has the hand you proposed, where there is no trick source in hearts. In that event, the five-level is not completely safe, which creates a problem.
However, the five-level is, in fact, safer in this sequence than it would be in the alternative sequence. So, Opener can cuebid his diamonds, as you suggested, and hear the sign-off suggestion. Now, however, Opener could venture further via a further cuebid of 5
♣. Why?
Normally, 5
♣ would be, in this sequence, a call that asks woith the secondary honors covered in clubs not spades, as described above. However, as Responder has already denied two of the top three but must have the Ace or King, that call would be meaningless if that was the definition. Exclusion also has been ruled out. Hence, this is a cue.
However, that 5
♣ option is out because Opener has not denied a club card himself; hence the 5
♣ call would not show the club stiff but rather a club honor (asking for re-evaluation). So, that is out.
What about 5
♦? That is possible, in the sense that Responder has already denied a diamond card (such that this cannot be that asking business and Exclusion is obviously out). Although this implies solid diamonds (A-K-Q), "faking it" with the Ace-King makes sense, because your real point is to deny AQ or KQ. That might get Responder to bid 5
♥ as Last Train himself.
What about 5
♥? Show what you have not shown and see if partner likes this feature?
What Opener thinks he wants, however, is not the fifth heart. He thinks he wants the club Ace instead of the King and either a doubleton diamond or a long heart feature. So, I think he ends up bidding 5
♦, myself.
After all of this analysis, however, I would agree that bidding 2
♥ instead of 2
♣ does have its merits when Opener does happen to have KQx in hearts. Obviously, any specific decision works wonders when Opener has the perfect hand to handle that specific call. There is a problem, however, with that sort of analysis. You can pose a specific hand for Opener where all is great after a 2
♥ call, but then I could counter with a specific hand where all is great after a 2
♣ call. Where does that, exactly, get us?
Remember, BTW, that the two hands I analyzed earlier, that you call "Ken Rexford's hands," were not hands that I proposed. They were Winston's Hands.
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-P.J. Painter.