Throw all four of them into the pool :-). But remember that "every MI case is a UI case" - that's important here.
But seriously:
- Well, technically, it's Announceable, not Alertable (unless it shows spades and). But an Announcement is a type of Alert, so not a worry.
- Why did east Lebensohl (I assume that's what 2NT! is)? Would she have made a different call if she knew spades?
- Not worried about South, he doesn't have any UI (I assume, if North is properly not going to say anything until after the hand)
- West - well, we'll get back to west.
- I assume North is okay with passing 3NT after partner shows lotsa hearts (as she *does* have UI), because 4♥ over a voluntarily bid 3NT (which is, well, we'll get back to that) requires A Hand.
- I also assume North led a spade rather than a heart, and it goes down on a spade lead no matter what.
So, start at the beginning.
- If East's call is different over spades, then almost nothing else matters. She doesn't know that South is going to pass/raise hearts, so doesn't get to "pre-pass", but if she was, say, "stayman with a heart stopper", then, well.
- Assuming East's 2NT is "get out in my suit" (which is a minor), then they'll do the same over spades as hearts (again, I assume. They might pass and bid over 2♠, but I'd really have to be convinced this shows something different than a direct 2NT and East has that, because "don't get to pre-pass").
- West, who is entitled to know that North has spades and South bid 3♥ over 2NT anyway, may have a better call over 3♥.
- If it's pass, then is it reasonable for North to pass absent the UI? East? Might there be a double here? If so, is it reasonable for North to sit for that?
So I'm looking at several potential contracts, from 2
♥, 3
♥ doubled or not, 3
♠ doubled or not, 3NT or even 4
♦. Investigate the play, including the play to 3NT on a spade lead (or a heart lead, if that's a LA). Note that if West would have made 9 tricks if he knew the spade layout, but went down because he didn't, then there you are. But let's assume not.
So you work out the potential contracts and their results, weight them according to probabilities, throw in a bit of help to E/W as the NOS, and assign the score.
But let's get back to West. Assuming he Alerted 2NT, and assuming it's "usually a weak hand", then 3NT is - an odd choice. Does it rise to the level of "serious error"? Well, depends on the hand and the player, but it would be a "serious error" if my partner did it, and I'd expect them to take all the blame (or the credit, it might make, maybe partner did find that other Ace) for the result. I'd certainly look at it. If it is judged so, then you need to work out whether the Serious Error was unrelated to the infraction (maybe they thought that
♥AT98 was a surprise and enough to make 9 tricks if partner even had one entry with their minor, but not for spades?) and if so, then apply 12C1e2.
I know you don't want to show the hands, but you can see that there are *so many* things to look at here, and most of them depend on the hand. And the system. And the level of player. And I'm probably missing something.
When I go to sea, don't fear for me, Fear For The Storm -- Birdie and the Swansong (tSCoSI)