Your call, 4=1=4=4 hand all red imps
#2
Posted 2012-November-18, 19:22
#4
Posted 2012-November-18, 19:46
PhilKing, on 2012-November-18, 19:32, said:
What if your partner had ♠x ♥KQxx ♦KQxx ♣AQJ10? (or anything similar) You can make 5 of either minor quite easily but they will go down only one in 3♠. Heck, if either minor breaks badly, you might still make 5 of either minor, but they'll make 3♠X!
#5
Posted 2012-November-19, 00:36
Lord Molyb, on 2012-November-18, 19:46, said:
It look to me like they are down 2 and you do not make 5♦, but 5♣ is probably ok if trumps break and they don't lead one.
#6
Posted 2012-November-19, 00:40
Easy pass for me too.
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#7
Posted 2012-November-19, 02:21
#8
Posted 2012-November-19, 02:30
On top of all that we have a great hand for five or six of a m inor. Why risk passing a takeout double with no tricks in either major?
#9
Posted 2012-November-19, 03:06
I would say that given the 3H bid is constructive, it is much more likely than normal that partner has extra shape. Possibly fairly extreme like 0355. I son't see any possibility of him having two spades. Partner must have fewer values than Moly's construction.
I would think it is wrong to pass. 4N is my choice, would rather play in my best fit than guess to stop at the four level with decent values and both minors.
#10
Posted 2012-November-19, 03:47
#11
Posted 2012-November-19, 05:00
#12
Posted 2012-November-19, 06:12
Fluffy, on 2012-November-19, 05:00, said:
Yeah instead he will try a heart that is awesome...
DOWN 9 IS GOOD BRIDGE IMO.
Also, why are we assuming partner has a spade. Assuming 3H is a lead directing spade raise (it is unspecified but given the 3S bid I think we can assume it was not natural NF and if it was natural forcing then it must be on a spade fit since we know he doesn't have a great hand), don't people usually have 3 spades to raise vul over 2S X?
#13
Posted 2012-November-19, 06:51
JLOGIC, on 2012-November-19, 06:12, said:
Also, why are we assuming partner has a spade. Assuming 3H is a lead directing spade raise (it is unspecified but given the 3S bid I think we can assume it was not natural NF and if it was natural forcing then it must be on a spade fit since we know he doesn't have a great hand), don't people usually have 3 spades to raise vul over 2S X?
I doubt any of the passers are assuming that RHO is making a lead directing spade raise.
I know I'm not. I am assuming RHO has just shown hearts, but clearly this need clarifying. Hopefully West's Three Spade bid was a mistake ...
#14
Posted 2012-November-19, 07:19
JLOGIC, on 2012-November-19, 06:12, said:
DOWN 9 IS GOOD BRIDGE IMO.
You surely mean down 7 wich is the most, I was down 7 before in 3NT, opponents were extremelly happy to run 5 spades and 6 hearts before I could collect last tricks with my minor aces, they weren't that happy when they saw unanimous 450 on the traveller against their 350 . Here vulnerability is different, but I will take my shot at MPs anyway.
#15
Posted 2012-November-19, 10:04
PhilKing, on 2012-November-19, 06:51, said:
I know I'm not. I am assuming RHO has just shown hearts, but clearly this need clarifying. Hopefully West's Three Spade bid was a mistake ...
No, but perhaps MBodell posted the hand because 3♥ wasn't alerted to determine LA's (probably bids).
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#16
Posted 2012-November-19, 10:23
I see no way to ensure we have our fit below game, altho I suspect that partner has at least 4=4 minors, and I like my hand for game purposes anyway....especially if we can find a 9 card minor. Then I can expect to draw trump and score a lot of ruffs as well.
I can't imagine passing here. I'm with Justin in that I am not playing responder to have nothing but hearts. Not only is such a hand rare, but opener clearly doesn't take it as such. Sure, opener is allowed a 'forget', but unless one's hand screams that that has happened, it usually pays to assume that presumably competent opps know what they are doing in this kind of auction.
#17
Posted 2012-November-19, 13:04
I would take the bids as they had been presented. East has short Spades and West no hand to pass 3 ♥.
Whether it is better to bid 4 NT or pass now is much closer then after a fitting 3 ♥ bid. What if partner holds 2533, opener 6034 and Easts 1732? I would like to slaughter 3 ♠.
Is this unlikely? Sure, but what hand is likely to fit to the bidding so far?
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#18
Posted 2012-November-19, 14:27
p so they need a fair amount of values to bid like this vul. It is also
way too easy for the 3h :natural: bid to be nothing much more than
a lead director willing to go down 5 if undoubled and more than ready
to run to 3s if doubled. I would rather trust p bidding (they were not
forced to bid over 3s) than worry too much about what the opps are
doing. Passing here when you are virtually certain p is short in
spades is a recipe for disaster.
#19
Posted 2012-November-19, 16:15
PhilKing, on 2012-November-19, 06:51, said:
I know I'm not. I am assuming RHO has just shown hearts, but clearly this need clarifying. Hopefully West's Three Spade bid was a mistake ...
So you think that RHO has a natural and forcing 3H bid? Whatever their agreements are, we seem to have at least like 24 or 25 HCP and probably more. And our vul RHO was still happy to bid 3H. I'm sure it is universal that RHO probably has some safety with that and has a spade fit, whatever their agreement is. Maybe it's a "psyche" to bid 3H with 3-6 or 2-7 in the majors and a good heart lead director but we know that's what happened right?
I guess if you are assuming 3H is natural and non forcing, but in that case LHO would never bid 3S. I agree that we could ask for clarification but if they said 3H was natural and forcing (and I doubt anyone would alert that) then surely you would assume RHO had a spade fit for that bid given that it was made with no HCP?
#20
Posted 2012-November-19, 16:17
Codo, on 2012-November-19, 13:04, said:
I would take the bids as they had been presented. East has short Spades and West no hand to pass 3 ♥.
I don't think 3H natural and forcing would be an alert. I would assume 3H natural and NF would be an alert but even if it wouldn't be, your argument breaks down with "west had no hand to pass 3H," surely an opening preemptor would always pass a non forcing advance (unless he had a great fitting hand that would raise).
I feel like people are putting their head in the sand if they really believe RHO does not have a spade fit. 2S X 3H when they are known to have at most 16 points between them and their partner bid further indicating it was not a non forcing bid is just always a spade fit. I have no reason to doubt he has hearts on this hand also since I have a stiff heart but sometimes people even psyche that with short hearts just FYI!