bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
First, how do you know it is the only hand that will bid? I bid on hands others don't.
So does my partner.
I don't
know that it's the only hand that will bid. The statement is based on the OP statement that 1NT-all pass is "obvious".
bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
Second, a top can be obtained just as much by defending as by playing.
In theory, yes. In practice, not always.
bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
Third, since I don't look at the hand, how would I know?
I believe I mentioned that possibility. I even asked a question about it. Would you care to answer it?
bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
Fourth, even so, why is my matchpoint expectancy affected by having an opening rather than not having an opening bid?
If at every table, the bidding is the same and the outcome is the same, then everyone gets the same score (50% of a top, at MPs). If anything is different, someone is going to get better than average, and someone worse. Perhaps this is just "rub of the green".
bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
Fifth, why not just follow the Law?
The Law does not say "you must arrow switch". That is just one of several options given the TD. I asked if another option (let them play it out and adjust the score later if knowledge of the card made a difference) might not be better in this case. You haven't addressed that question.
bluejak, on 2012-November-01, 17:22, said:
I grant you it is an inequitable solution if you were playing rubber bridge, but at rubber we just redeal.
That's also an option at duplicate, at least in some cases.