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How do you play?

#21 User is offline   shyams 

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Posted 2010-August-19, 03:07

I had read this article a few weeks ago. Found it interesting -- but I think the experts and math buffs will derive much more value out of this than I did.

http://sites.google.com/site/psmartinsite/...monty-hall-trap
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#22 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-August-19, 03:26

Actually, comparing this hand with the Monty Hall trap makes it clear why my argument was wrong. Monty Hall had a free choice of doors to open, but on this hand the suit that LHO tells us about will nearly always be spades.

If Monty Hall always had to open the leftmost door, we'd have a 50-50 guess. If he nearly always had to open the leftmost door, we'd get only a slight advantage from switching.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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