BBO Discussion Forums: Pick a lead - J9 KJ952 K85 Q86 - BBO Discussion Forums

Jump to content

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

Pick a lead - J9 KJ952 K85 Q86

#1 User is offline   WesleyC 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 878
  • Joined: 2009-June-28
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Australia

Posted 2009-September-14, 04:58

Red vs Green @ IMPs

(1) P (2) P
(2NT) P (4) AP

2NT is 15-17 balanced.

What do you lead from:
J9 KJ952 K85 Q86 ?
0

#2 User is offline   Jlall 

  • Follower of 655321
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Members
  • Posts: 3,293
  • Joined: 2008-December-05
  • Interests:drinking, women, bridge...what else?

Posted 2009-September-14, 05:18

Heart :)
0

#3 User is offline   andy_h 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 1,962
  • Joined: 2007-September-14
  • Location:Australia
  • Interests:The Universe, Traveling, Squash, and Scandinavia.

Posted 2009-September-14, 05:25

J
- Andy -

We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
0

#4 User is offline   ochinko 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 647
  • Joined: 2004-May-27
  • Gender:Male
  • Interests:Cooking

Posted 2009-September-14, 07:08

8 hoping i won't hit the declarer's doubleton or that partner will have either the queen or the ace.

Why? Because leading a shorter suit and a one with a higher honor is less dangerous of blowing away a trick of mine.
0

#5 User is offline   pooltuna 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,814
  • Joined: 2009-July-23
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:New Orleans

Posted 2009-September-14, 07:41

Jlall, on Sep 14 2009, 06:18 AM, said:

Heart :(

If ever an auction called for a passive lead this sounds like one to me. Consequently a would be my second choice. My first choice, like Andy, would be the J through dummy's QTxx and into declarer's Axxxx. :D
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."

George Bernard Shaw
0

#6 User is offline   skjaeran 

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 3,727
  • Joined: 2006-June-05
  • Location:Oslo, Norway
  • Interests:Bridge, sports, Sci-fi, fantasy

Posted 2009-September-15, 15:13

5, might work out as either passive or active, the least dangerous lead.
Kind regards,
Harald
0

#7 User is offline   Vilgan 

  • PipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 359
  • Joined: 2005-December-04
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Seattle, WA
  • Interests:Hiking, MTG, Go, Pacific NW.

Posted 2009-September-15, 21:15

I lead a low notrump.

Erm.

blah.

Feel like I should lead a heart in imps, even though I hate it.
0

#8 User is offline   WesleyC 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 878
  • Joined: 2009-June-28
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Australia

Posted 2009-September-15, 22:07

Interesting to see such a balanced response set.

On the board:

Diamond lead sets up our partner's diamonds for +100.
Spade lead doesn't give anything away for +50.
Heart lead hits Qx in dummy for a quick -420.

I led a heart but in hindsight, I prefer either a diamond (or even a spade). I think its the extra length that makes a heart so dangerous. Even if a heart lead DOES hit partner's honour, we might not be cashing any winners there. And if declarer/dummy have the AQh and a doubleton between them, then leading a heart blows our trick there.

A diamond has more to gain (an increased chance to set up multiple tricks) and less to lose (even if declarer has all the diamonds we will often still score our K).
0

#9 User is offline   Fluffy 

  • World International Master without a clue
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Advanced Members
  • Posts: 17,404
  • Joined: 2003-November-13
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:madrid

Posted 2009-September-16, 02:35

I couldn't decide between club and heart, what does club blow up?.


I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.
0

#10 User is offline   ochinko 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 647
  • Joined: 2004-May-27
  • Gender:Male
  • Interests:Cooking

Posted 2009-September-16, 03:37

Fluffy, on Sep 16 2009, 11:35 AM, said:

I couldn't decide between club and heart, what does club blow up?.


I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.

Because the Queen is a slower trick than the King. It may not matter in NT where the trick will often come back to you, but in a suit contract the slower trick has more chances to be ruffed before you take it.
0

#11 User is offline   WesleyC 

  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • Group: Full Members
  • Posts: 878
  • Joined: 2009-June-28
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Australia

Posted 2009-September-16, 07:57

A club lead is also fine on the layout - but I think as a general rule you're better leading from a K than from a Q.
0

Page 1 of 1
  • You cannot start a new topic
  • You cannot reply to this topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic
0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users