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Pick a lead - J9 KJ952 K85 Q86
#1
Posted 2009-September-14, 04:58
Red vs Green @ IMPs
(1♠) P (2♠) P
(2NT) P (4♠) AP
2NT is 15-17 balanced.
What do you lead from:
♠J9 ♥KJ952 ♦K85 ♣Q86 ?
(1♠) P (2♠) P
(2NT) P (4♠) AP
2NT is 15-17 balanced.
What do you lead from:
♠J9 ♥KJ952 ♦K85 ♣Q86 ?
#3
Posted 2009-September-14, 05:25
♠J
- Andy -
We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
#4
Posted 2009-September-14, 07:08
♦8 hoping i won't hit the declarer's doubleton or that partner will have either the queen or the ace.
Why? Because leading a shorter suit and a one with a higher honor is less dangerous of blowing away a trick of mine.
Why? Because leading a shorter suit and a one with a higher honor is less dangerous of blowing away a trick of mine.
#5
Posted 2009-September-14, 07:41
Jlall, on Sep 14 2009, 06:18 AM, said:
Heart 
If ever an auction called for a passive lead this sounds like one to me. Consequently a ♥ would be my second choice. My first choice, like Andy, would be the J♠ through dummy's QTxx and into declarer's Axxxx.
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#6
Posted 2009-September-15, 15:13
♦5, might work out as either passive or active, the least dangerous lead.
Kind regards,
Harald
Harald
#7
Posted 2009-September-15, 21:15
I lead a low notrump.
Erm.
blah.
Feel like I should lead a ♥ heart in imps, even though I hate it.
Erm.
blah.
Feel like I should lead a ♥ heart in imps, even though I hate it.
#8
Posted 2009-September-15, 22:07
Interesting to see such a balanced response set.
On the board:
Diamond lead sets up our partner's diamonds for +100.
Spade lead doesn't give anything away for +50.
Heart lead hits Qx in dummy for a quick -420.
I led a heart but in hindsight, I prefer either a diamond (or even a spade). I think its the extra length that makes a heart so dangerous. Even if a heart lead DOES hit partner's honour, we might not be cashing any winners there. And if declarer/dummy have the AQh and a doubleton between them, then leading a heart blows our trick there.
A diamond has more to gain (an increased chance to set up multiple tricks) and less to lose (even if declarer has all the diamonds we will often still score our K).
On the board:
Diamond lead sets up our partner's diamonds for +100.
Spade lead doesn't give anything away for +50.
Heart lead hits Qx in dummy for a quick -420.
I led a heart but in hindsight, I prefer either a diamond (or even a spade). I think its the extra length that makes a heart so dangerous. Even if a heart lead DOES hit partner's honour, we might not be cashing any winners there. And if declarer/dummy have the AQh and a doubleton between them, then leading a heart blows our trick there.
A diamond has more to gain (an increased chance to set up multiple tricks) and less to lose (even if declarer has all the diamonds we will often still score our K).
#9
Posted 2009-September-16, 02:35
I couldn't decide between club and heart, what does club blow up?.
I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.
I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.
#10
Posted 2009-September-16, 03:37
Fluffy, on Sep 16 2009, 11:35 AM, said:
I couldn't decide between club and heart, what does club blow up?.
I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.
I though club was less likelly to blow a trick than a diamond. Because declarer is 5332 or 6322, chances of doubleton diamond are around 40-45%.
Because the Queen is a slower trick than the King. It may not matter in NT where the trick will often come back to you, but in a suit contract the slower trick has more chances to be ruffed before you take it.
#11
Posted 2009-September-16, 07:57
A club lead is also fine on the layout - but I think as a general rule you're better leading from a K than from a Q.
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