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Your plan in 3nt at MP?

#1 User is offline   Mbodell 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 01:50

Scoring: MP

Bidding is SA w/ opponents silent:
1-2
3-3
3nt

Opening lead 3.

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#2 User is offline   Quantumcat 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 02:26

win the king, AD, overtake the q of hearts (assuming the opps dont lead low from all small cards) play diamonds, lose one (assuming no nice 3/3 break), win the club return, finesse the ten, cash hearts and diamonds. (i am a beginner so dont make fun of me if this is bad :-))
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#3 User is offline   fan13027 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 02:29

Take the lead in hand with Q or K. Play Ace of from hand. Return to dummy with a small from the hand to J. Play the rest of the 's. If J does not drop, you give it out, and regain lead with whatever. Return to dummy with Ace and cash the rest of your winners.

I know you think you understand what you thought I said, but what I'm not sure about is that what you heard isn't exactly what I meant.

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#4 User is offline   Quantumcat 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 02:30

but if the hearts are 4-2 you will only win 3 hearts?
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#5 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 02:31

quantumcat shoots, scores!
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#6 User is offline   fan13027 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 02:41

Quantumcat, even if and splits are against you, you take 3 5 and your 2 black Aces for a total of 10 tricks = 3NT+1. If the splits are better you may have 1 or 2 overtricks B)

EDIT: After some further thought ....

Cover lead with 9 from dummy. If RHO does not drop T you just scored an extra trick. Otherwise take trick in hand with K or Q. If dummy wins, you lead small to Ace and return to dummy with 's, or if you take trick in hand, then lead A and return to dummy with 's. Either way, the A and J in dummy give you 2 returns to dummy, which is what you need should the J not fall.

I know you think you understand what you thought I said, but what I'm not sure about is that what you heard isn't exactly what I meant.

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#7 User is online   kgr 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 03:48

fan13027, on Nov 6 2008, 10:41 AM, said:

Quantumcat, even if and splits are against you, you take 3 5 and your 2 black Aces for a total of 10 tricks = 3NT+1. If the splits are better you may have 1 or 2 overtricks ;)

EDIT: After some further thought ....

Cover lead with 9 from dummy. If RHO does not drop T you just scored an extra trick. Otherwise take trick in hand with K or Q. If dummy wins, you lead small to Ace and return to dummy with 's, or if you take trick in hand, then lead A and return to dummy with 's. Either way, the A and J in dummy give you 2 returns to dummy, which is what you need should the J not fall.

...only 1 re-entry to dummy if you let 9 win the first trick
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#8 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 05:22

I can't decide.
I really want to know about LHO's lead style.
What would he lead from 3 low? doubleton?
If the 3 is either a singleton or promises an honour, then I go with QuantumCat's line. But this line does actually risk going off if LHO has led from xxx of hearts.
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#9 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 05:23

fan13027, on Nov 6 2008, 09:29 AM, said:

Take the lead in hand with Q or K. Play Ace of from hand. Return to dummy with a small from the hand to J. Play the rest of the 's. If J does not drop, you give it out, and regain lead with whatever. Return to dummy with Ace and cash the rest of your winners.

note the form of scoring
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#10 User is offline   ASkolnick 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 09:01

If you want to be greedy

Win KH.

Play AD. Overtake QH with AH.
Drive out JD.

Win return, finesse the 9 of hearts.
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#11 User is offline   Mbodell 

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Posted 2008-November-06, 14:47

FrancesHinden, on Nov 6 2008, 03:22 AM, said:

I can't decide.
I really want to know about LHO's lead style.
What would he lead from 3 low? doubleton?
If the 3 is either a singleton or promises an honour, then I go with QuantumCat's line. But this line does actually risk going off if LHO has led from xxx of hearts.

Yeah, I don't know this defender well enough. I know they play forth best leads, and think that they'd lead low from x, xxx, Txx, xxxx, Txxx but not xx or Tx. I also think they'd tend to lead hearts most of the time based on the auction unless they had a very clear other lead.

Results:
Spoiler


It was a tricky hand for me (actually I was dummy so for partner) though because a priori playing diamonds from the top will get you all 6 tricks ~54.5% of the time and playing hearts where you overtake an honor and play from the top will work out for 4 tricks that same ~54.5% of the time and finessing the T will work 50%. But figuring out how the opening lead effects all of those odds and knowing you are playing MP not IMPs was tricky.
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