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how brave (foolish?) are you?

#1 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 08:20

(1) all red mps

5
J3
109853
AKJ104

1.a: (1NT)-?
1.b: hidden->
Spoiler


(2) unfav, mps

852
83
A72
109432

1*-(2)-p-(p)
2-(3)-p-(3)
p-(p)-
* 11-15

2.a: agree with the first two passes?
2.b: finally time to bid something?

(3) all red, mps

KQJ85
KJ5
Q43
J7

1*-(p)-1NT-(2)
p-(p)-Dbl-(p)-
* 11-15
edit: 1NT = semiforcing, 2/1 context
Dbl = takeout
edit: a direct double of 2 would be takeout also

3.a: your call?
3.b: what if the vulnerability was unfav?
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 08:40

1a) Bidding over 1NT isn't so much brave as silly. You're unlikely to stop them from getting to wherever they're going; all you are going to do is tell them how to play it.

1b) 3. Tempting to bid 3, but I've grown out of that sort of thing.

2a) I'd have bid 2 on the first round, thereby avoiding this problem.

2b) No. Partner doesn't promise any great strength when he bids 2 - he might just have short hearts but be unsuitable for a reopening double.

3a/b) 2. Maybe I'll get to double 3.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#3 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 09:29

1) ( a ) I bid. I show both minors if I can - otherwise, I show clubs. Yes, it is possible that this could help the opponents out in the play of the hand. But getting into the auction over 1NT so often disrupts the opponents' bidding that it is worth the risk.

1) ( b ) Having passed on the first round, I pass again. The opponents have already exchanged enough information so that I cannot disrupt their bidding, and if I bid I give them a free shot at doubling or using the distribution information gained by my bid to aid them in the play of the hand.

2) ( a ) I would have bid 2 over 2, but I don't have any real problem with the pass.

2) ( b ) I pass over 3. Bidding would be giving the opponents a fielder's choice - double if it is right for them or reevaluate their cards and bid the game they may have missed.

3) My first thought was to pass the double, but if the double is 100% for takeout, then passing is too dangerous. The opponents may have a 9 card fit and we should not have enough in high cards to defeat 2. The problem is what to bid. Is partner really 5-5 or better in the minors? I doubt it. I bid 2. I cannot have a really great spade suit from my failure to bid over 2, so partner may be in a position to correct this to a minor suit if appropriate.
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#4 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 10:42

1a/ Pass not close

b/ Pass not close - are these guys really playing in 2NT with a 5=4 heart fit?

2a/ close to 2 on the first round. If i didn't bid 2 on the first round then I would bid 3 on the second round. Partner should have something decent for 2.

b/ 3 now seems ok but I would prefer to have bid earlier. I just noticed it is a limited opening context which makes 2 even safer on the first round. I must learn to read the posts more carefully.

3/ There doesn't seem to be a good alternative to 2. 2NT if natural might be ok but I think it is more useful as equal preference - I would do this with 3=3 in the minors as partner rates to have a five-card minor.

What incidentally is 1NT, non forcing and limited I presume.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#5 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 10:45

Cascade, on Apr 4 2008, 12:42 PM, said:

What incidentally is 1NT, non forcing and limited I presume.

edited
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#6 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 11:27

1. Yes I like to disturb their auctions, so 2 NT to me, yes this gives them a road map, but maybe they have it in the wrong contract.

1 B. Having passed once, I pass again.

2. 2 NT Natural had been nice once in a while, but it is not, so 2 Spade

3. I had bid 2 Spade, but if I had passed, I would bid now.

Hey this is not Bridge, it is MPs!
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#7 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 11:40

1. Pass all the time.

i: if I bid this will increase the odds of partner being on lead: I know which minor to lead, he won't

ii: while maybe we can disrupt them, we can also go for a number. Partner might even think we have better diamonds and make a poor bid

iii: bidding draws a road map. Assume they have 9 spades missing the Queen with a 2-way hook, or 8 missing the J....bid 2N and kiss your partner's trump trick good bye.


2. I continue to pass. When I hold nothing, I bid nothing. The opps haven't shown a genuine fit yet.

3. 2: Passing is insane unless we knew that partner had at least 2 Aces.. and even then, may not work. I imagine partner is 2=2=(45) or so but he might, I suppose, be 2=1=5=5. If the latter, I may get a crack at 3

It make no difference to me if we were at unfavourable... contrary to rumour, the trick taking power of one's hand is independent of vulnerability
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#8 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-April-04, 13:25

1) I think bidding is really really bad. Like...really.

2) I would have bid over 2H but I understand why one wouldn't, but I think passing 3C is criminal. You have to raise at some point! I would definitely bid now.

3) If you won't pass with this..... I mean come on they're vul and it's imps and pard has short spades and you have the KJ of hearts...... I would pass this at imps.
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#9 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-April-04, 13:27

Wow I just read other's replies..... WOW. You guys just never pass Xs I guess.
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#10 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-April-04, 13:28

ArtK78, on Apr 4 2008, 10:29 AM, said:

2) ( b ) I pass over 3. Bidding would be giving the opponents a fielder's choice - double if it is right for them or reevaluate their cards and bid the game they may have missed.

Lol...or let's you play in 3S making? Why are you assuming it's not our hand?
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#11 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-April-04, 13:31

mikeh, on Apr 4 2008, 12:40 PM, said:

2. I continue to pass. When I hold nothing, I bid nothing. The opps haven't shown a genuine fit yet.

Good point the opps haven't shown a genuine fit....... but you have at least a 9 card spade fit so you are able to infer the opps have a fit. It's not even like they will have a diamond fit and have missed it, they could have just bid 3D over 3C on the way to a 3H preference if they had so many diamonds. And I don't really see how 3 trumps + ruffing value + ace= nothing.
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#12 User is offline   Edmunte1 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 14:05

1. Pass/pass
2. a) no i would have bid earlier
3. 2
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#13 User is offline   dburn 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 14:11

1a) Would usually pass, but if in need of a top would consider 3, which might make life difficult for all concerned including me.

1b) Not much point in bidding now - even if they're going to play 4 from responder and we need a club lead from partner to score well, too much risk involved.

2) Would have bid 2 on previous round. Will certainly bid 3 now.

3) What would it have meant if I had doubled 2? If for penalty, then will pass confidently now - partner is presumably prepared for me to do this with a primarily defensive hand that did not make a penalty double of its own. If for takeout... well, I will still pass, but less confidently.
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#14 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 14:13

dburn, on Apr 4 2008, 04:11 PM, said:

3) What would it have meant if I had doubled 2?

edited
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#15 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 14:55

Jlall, on Apr 4 2008, 02:28 PM, said:

ArtK78, on Apr 4 2008, 10:29 AM, said:

2) ( b ) I pass over 3.  Bidding would be giving the opponents a fielder's choice - double if it is right for them or reevaluate their cards and bid the game they may have missed.

Lol...or let's you play in 3S making? Why are you assuming it's not our hand?

The fact that partner is a limited opener and I have an ace and out?

Granted, it is likely that we have 9 spades (although that is not a certainly - partner could easily have 5 excellent spades). But we have LOTS of losers. And the fact that we have 9 spades means that they may have very little in the way of wasted values for their heart contract. They may be playing with a 30 point deck.

So, while we may do OK in a spade contract, I doubt that we will make 9 tricks and I fear that they may make 10.
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#16 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 15:43

1. Pass. Agree with dburn that 3C has more upside than 2NT but it's pretty desperate.

2. Would definitely have bid 2S immediately. Would have bid 3S the second time. Would bid 3S now.

3. I pass at MPs but not at IMPs! You are a maniac Justin.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#17 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 15:55

1. Pass wtp

2. I would HATE to play with someone who went all three rounds of this auction with this hand and never found a way to raise me. It makes me wonder why I even got out of bed that morning.

3. I'm sure I wouldn't ever pass this, I don't even have an ace. Who knows, if I bid they might end up going to 3. I have to admit I wouldn't be surprised to see pass get a top...but even less surprised to see it get a bottom.
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#18 User is offline   dburn 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 17:11

han, on Apr 4 2008, 04:43 PM, said:

1. Pass. Agree with dburn that 3C has more upside than 2NT but it's pretty desperate.

2. Would definitely have bid 2S immediately. Would have bid 3S the second time. Would bid 3S now.

3. I pass at MPs but not at IMPs! You are a maniac Justin.

Desperate situations (such as playing matchpoints) call for desperate remedies. Bidding 3 on problem 1a is one of those, but the more I think about it, the more 3 has going for it.

Many pairs simply do not know what do to when 1NT is overcalled at the three level: they don't know whether double is penalty or takeout; they don't know whether a three-level bid by responder is forcing or not; they don't know how to reach 3NT with any confidence when opener has three clubs to the queen.

Of course, those who post messages on the BBO Advanced and Expert Class forum do know these things, and I would have to be very desperate indeed to bid 3 against any such. But in a pairs tournament where I don't know my opponents, I'd think 3 has a better than 50% chance of generating a decent score.

As to the third problem, it's not maniacal in the least to pass out 2 doubled at any form of scoring and any vulnerability. The extent to which a double is "takeout" is more than somewhat vague, and solid partnerships will have defined the extent to which an ostensibly "takeout" double means: "Pass this only if you have them beaten in your own hand"; or "Pass this unless you have something clearly better to do, but don't rely on me to have them beaten in my own hand - if you do have something clearly better to do, I can at least tolerate whatever it is."

Still and all, on the actual hand:

KQJxx KJx Qxx xx

I would probably bid 2 if my fourth-highest spade were the ten, thinking that this would be unlikely to get me a bottom or lose a lot of IMPs. But since I don't have 10, and since I have therefore close to no playing strength whatever, bidding 2 could just as easily get me a bottom as passing 2 doubled. By the same token, it could just as easily get me -500 as passing 2 doubled could get me -470 at IMPs.

Maybe I should have a game with Justin sometime. As long as no one calls the director, that is.
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And sealed the Law by vote,
It little matters what they thought -
We hang for what they wrote.
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#19 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-April-04, 21:45

Results:

1. I passed. They played in 3 when we're cold for 4. Presumably no one would bid over 3 retransfer p 3.

2. Usually my approach to such a hand is to bid the first time, but today I was in a weird mood and passed throughout, partially because my RHO at the time is a very sound bidder and I thought the risk of 200 was quite high. In fact RHO had a 17 count and they are cold for 3NT, but we would have made 3. They can only make 9 tricks in hearts.

3. This auction didn't occur at the table. Had this auction occurred, I would have bid 2, which partner would correct to 2NT (1255 10 count) and I would pass. 2 is -2, so passing the double is the winner.
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#20 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-April-05, 01:38

Apollo81, on Apr 4 2008, 09:20 AM, said:

(1) all red mps 5 J3 109853 AKJ104
1.a: (1NT) ??
1.b: if you pass, the bidding goes (2) _P (2N)
back to you, 2NT means a superaccept without a worthless doubleton

1.a IMO 2N = 10, 3 = 9, _P = 7.
If opponents don't play 3-level transfers, then 3 becomes more attractive.
  • You don't have much :( but you don't promise much and you do have what you promised :)

  • You are vul :( but so are they and it is pairs :)

  • You have the worst shape :( but your intermediates are good and your values are pure :)

1.b Now IMO _P = 10, 3 = 6, _X = 5.
  • You missed the boat to disrupt opponent's auction.

  • Suggesting a five level sacrifice is a bit rich vulnerable at pairs.

  • You might bid 3 for the lead, except that you are likely to be on lead.

Apollo81, on Apr 4 2008, 09:20 AM, said:

(2) unfav, mps 852 83 A72 109432
1 (2) _P (_P)
2 (3) _P (3)
_P (_p) ??
1 = 11-15
2.a: agree with the first two passes?
2.b: finally time to bid something?

2.a Over (2), IMO _P = 10, 2 = 7.
Over (3) IMO 3 = 10 _P = 4.
2.b Now _P = 10, 3 = 5
Again belated action presents opponents with fielder's choice.

Apollo81, on Apr 4 2008, 09:20 AM, said:

(3) all red, mps KQJ85 KJ5 Q43 J7
1 (_P) 1N (2)
_P (_P) _X (_P)
1 = 11-15
edit: 1NT = semiforcing, 2/1 context
_X = takeout
edit: a direct double of 2 would be takeout also
3.a: your call?
3.b: what if the vulnerability was unfav?

3.a/b IMO 2 = 10, _P = 8, 2N = 6, 3 = 4.
2 is not encouraging and the quality of the suit is adequate. Pass is attractive but a bit speculative because if partner's double is T/O, opponents are likely to hold 8-9 .
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